Showing posts with label PPP. Show all posts
Showing posts with label PPP. Show all posts

Wednesday, 10 June 2015

Charter of Economy میثاق معیشت

سیاست میں بہت سے معاملات ایسے ہوتے ہیں جن پر تمام جماعتوں کی رائے کم و بیش یکساں ہوتی ہے لیکن وقتی مصلحت ان جماعتوں کو مخالفت پرمجبور کر دیتی ہے. اپوزیشن جماعتیں حکومت مخالفت میں آئین سازی نہیں ہونے دیتیں لیکن جب حکومت میں آتی ہیں تو خود انہی مسائل کا سامنا کرتی ہیں جن کا سامنا پچھلی حکومت کو تھا. اس ہی طرح حکومتی جماعت اپوزیشن کے جائز مطالبات پر قانون سازی نہیں کرتی کیونکہ اس کے اختیارات میں کمی آئے گی لیکن جب دوبارہ اپوزیشن میں جاتی ہے تو اسے اس کی اہمیت دوبارہ یاد آتی ہے. نواز شریف اور بینظیر بھٹو کو دو دو بار حکومت چھن جانے کے بعد یہ بات سمجھ آ گئی . وہ سر جوڑ کر بیٹھے اور ان تمام معاملات پر اتفاق رائے پیدا کیا جن پر نا اتفاقی کا فائدہ تیسری قوت اٹھا رہی تھی. یہ اتفاق میثاق جمہوریت کی صورت میں ہمارے سامنے آیا. مسلم لیگ نون اور پیپلز پارٹی نے میثاق جمہوریت کی اکثر شقوں کو عملی جامہ پہنایا جس کے نتیجے میں پاکستان میں جمہوریت مظبوط ہوئی اور پہلی بار ایک جمہوری حکومت نے اپنا پانچ سالہ دور حکومت مکمل کیا

آج پاکستان میں جمہوریت مظبوط ہو رہی ہے. ہماری اگلی ترجیح معیشت کی بحالی ہونی چاہئے تاکہ جمہوریت کے فوائد پوری طرح عوام تک پہنچ سکیں. معاشی معاملات میں بھی کچھ وقتی مصلحتیں قومی مفاد پر غالب آ جاتی ہیں. حکومت اپنے اختیارات پر سمجھوتہ نہیں چاہتی اور اپوزیشن حکومت کے لئے مشکلات پیدا کرنا اپنا فرض سمجھتی ہے. طاقت کی اس جنگ کا نقصان معیشت کو ہوتا ہے. مثال کے طور پر پالیسیوں کا تسلسل معیشت کے لئے انتہائی ضروری ہے لیکن ہر آنے والی حکومت پچھلی حکومت کی پالیسیوں کو یکسر تبدیل کر دیتی ہے جس سے سرمایہ کروں کا اعتماد متاثر ہوتا ہے. اس ہی طرح اپوزیشن جماعتیں قومی اداروں میں بھرتی کی شفافیت پر زور دیتی ہیں لیکن حکومت میں آنے کے بعد من مانے طریقے  سے بلا ضرورت سیاسی بھرتیاں کرتی ہیں. نجکاری، قرضوں کے حصول و ادائیگی ، ٹیکس نادہندگان سے وصولی جیسے معاملات پر وقتی مصلحت کے تحت سیاست اور پائنٹ سکورنگ کی جاتی ہے

ایک مثال سے یہاں بات واضح کرنا ضروری ہے. بجٹ پر بحث کے دوران ٹیکس دینے والوں کی تعداد میں اضافے کا معاملہ ہر سال اٹھایا جاتا ہے. سب جانتے ہیں کہ ہمارے ملک میں اکثریت اپنے حصّے کا ٹیکس ادا نہیں کرتی. حکومت  ٹیکس نادہندگان پر سختی کرنے سے کتراتی ہے کیونکہ اس کے نتیجے میں ان نادہندگان کی طرف سے 'یسے ہوئے مظلوم طبقے' کا روپ دھار کر ہڑتالوں اور مظاہروں کا ایک سلسلہ شروع ہو جائے گا. اپوزیشن جماعتیں سیاسی فائدہ اٹھانے کے لئے ان مظاہرین کے پیچھے آن کھڑی ہوں گی اور حکومت چلانا مشکل ہو جائے گا. پانچ سال بعد رول تبدیل ہو جاتے ہیں اور مسئلہ جوں کا توں رہتا ہے. اگر تمام جماعتیں متفق ہو جائیں کہ ٹیکس نادہندگان کی سیاسی حمایت نہیں کی جائے گی تو ان نادہندگان کے خلاف سخت کروائی عمل میں لائی جا سکتی ہے 

اسحاق ڈار صاحب کئی بار میثاق معیشت پر اتفاق رائے کی حکومتی خواہش کا اظہار کر چکے ہیں لیکن سیاسی جماعتوں اور میڈیا نے اس بات کو اب تک کوئی خاص اہمیت نہیں دی.  وقت آ گیا ہے کہ معیشت کی بحالی کے لئے سیاسی جماتیں اسی بلوغت کا مظاہرہ کریں جس کا انہوں نے جمہوریت کی بقا کے لئے کیا تھا. پاکستان کا فائدہ ہم سب کا فائدہ ہے 

Thursday, 7 November 2013

PMLN Continues to Enjoy Popular Support. IRI Survey

International Republican Institute (IRI), has conducted a survey regarding popularity of Pakistans Federal and provincial government. The results show that PMLN has maintained or enhanced public support it received during the May 2013 general elections held in Pakistan. 58% of the respondents have rated the performance of the government as 'Good' or 'Very Good' while 33% rate it as 'Bad' or 'Very Bad'. Considering that PMLN secured slightly less than 33% of the popular vote in the May 2013 general elections, the support of 58% population for the government can be considered a significant achievement. 

In response to a question regarding current voting intentions, 33% responded that they would vote for PMLN, 11% for Pakistan Tehrik-i-Insaaf (PTI), 9% for Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP). The results show that PMLN is holding on to its vote bank from May 2013 elections. PTI and PPP have lost a major chunk of support they mustered during the elections.

PartyCurrent SupportElections May 2013Change
PMLN
33%
32.8%
+0.2%
PTI
11%
16.9%
-5.9%
PPP
9%
15.3%
-6.3%

The verdict regarding the provincial governments also indicates continued popularity of PMLN in Punjab. Punjab government is the most popular provincial government in Pakistan with an approval rating of 73%. Khyber Pakhtunkhwa government is a distant second with 49%, Sindh government enjoys only 34% support and Balochistan only 30%.

Province
Punjab
73%
21%
KP
49%
28%
Sindh
34%
48%
Balochistan
30%
36%

PMLN has already taken some tough but necessary decisions to fix the economy such as increase in the power tarriff, CNG, petroleum prices etc. It is encouraging to see that these decisions are being perceived in the right context. The coming months may put pressure on PMLN's popular support due to more tough decisions but in the medium terms these steps will bear fruit and the popularity of the party is expected to soar.

References:
http://dawn.com/news/1054736
http://tribune.com.pk/story/628369/iri-survey-for-most-pakistanis-power-crisis-is-the-real-problem/
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pakistani_general_election,_2013

Wednesday, 30 October 2013

Answering Objections to Privatization

PMLN government has finalized a list of state owned enterprises (SOEs) to be privatized in the coming months. Various quarters have voiced criticism of the plan. Most of this criticism is motivated by groups having vested interests. Political opponents also see this as an opportunity to score points and are trying to confuse the public regarding the need and the effects of the proposed privatization process. In this article, we will discuss the various objections raised.

The first objection or rather allegation is that the privatization program is being carried out on the dictates of the IMF. Anybody who has followed PML-N's history will know that privatization has been the cornerstone of PMLN's economic policies since the 1990's. It was PMLN that initiated the process of privatization in Pakistan. Privatization has been an important part of the PMLN manifesto for more than 20 years. In its Jan, 2013 manifesto PMLN clearly states
Identify enterprises which need to be privatized and assign targets to the privatization commission to ensure completion of the privatization process within the assigned time frame.
PMLN therefore has a public mandate for its privatization program. Anybody calling it a policy formulated under the dictates of the IMF is clearly unaware of history and core party policies.

The second objection relates to questioning the need for privatization. There are two groups of people that raise this argument. One questions the need for privatization in totum, irrespective of the status of the SOE. This group does not even support the privatization of loss-making entities that are sucking up hundreds of billions of government funds annually. The main group falling in this category is Pakistan People's Party. PPP's founder Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto was responsible for the nationalization program of the 1970's and is therefore predisposed to opposing any privatization plan. Supporting privatization would amount to admitting the mistake of its founder, a move that PPP is not yet mature enough to consider. Secondly, PPP, in each of its tenures, has used SOEs to generate employment for its loyal party workers (jiyalas) and their families. Many SOEs including PIA and Pakistan Steel are heavily staffed with PPP loyalists. Privatization, with management control, will put the jobs of these loyalists at risk. Furthermore, after privatization, PPP will lose the ability to use employment in SOEs as a political reward / bribe in any future government. Many scandals relating to misuse of SOE funds and assets surfaced during PPP's last tenure. These include the NICL and OGRA scams currently being investigated by NAB on the direction of the supreme court. The bottom line is that PPP does not want to lose control of these SOEs. They may be generating losses for the government of Pakistan but they are certainly benefiting the party.

The second group only objects to the privatization of SOEs that are running in profit. They question why the government should off load these entities when they are generating a profit? There are several reasons for the privatization of such entities. Running businesses is not the job of the government. The job of the government is to provide an environment conducive to running of the businesses by regulating business practices and protecting consumer rights.  If an entity is generating profits under government control it will generate higher profits under private management with better quality of service. Secondly, after the privatization of large loss-making SOEs, the burden of political over-staffing and misuse of government resources will shift to the remaining SOEs turning them into loss making entities. It is therefore better to privatize them while they are still profitable.

The present government is investing heavily in power generation to end the menace of load-shedding once and for all. Several projects have been initiated that require funding. Divesting from current SOEs will release funds to the government that can be invested into these new projects. For instance, the government is in advanced stages of finalizing two coal-fired power plants each of 660MW from its own resources in the Pakistan Power Park, at Gadani. The government's own investment in the project will give confidence to foreign investors and it is planned that a further eight plants each of 660MW will be installed in the power park. This government investment in the power sector holds far more value for the people than its current investment in banking or insurance. In the medium term the new SOEs created in the form of these power plants will also be privatized and the funds will be utilized where needed the most.

Another objection is the national pride argument. It is claimed that privatizing Pakistan International Airlines (PIA) and the steel mills will somehow dent our national pride. How many other governments, in democratic and developed countries are running airlines and steel mills? Pan Am, the national flag carrier of the United States, went bankrupt in 1991. The U.S. government made no attempt to save the airline in the name of national pride. The U.S. government has even ended its space shuttle program realizing that the private sector has developed to a point where it can provide the same services at a fraction of the cost. Seeing Pakistan Steel run on life support at less than 10% of its capacity should hurt our national pride more than seeing it prosper in private hands.

Finally there is the argument of why can't the government restructure these SOEs by bringing in qualified management. Billions have been flushed in the name of restructuring and bail-out packages on SOEs in the past. Those asking for more seem to have learned nothing in the last 40 years. 

Tuesday, 19 February 2013

The Malik-an Brief

The title is inspired by the 1993 movie "The Pelican Brief." The story revolves around a legal brief, written by a law student, that correctly surmises the motive for murder of two Supreme Court Judges. The motive is the exploitation of resources in the marshlands that are home to a rare species of Pelican. Like the inspirational brief, my story is based on educated conjecture and also involves marshlands. In putting forth this theory, I have relied upon  news items that have been published in the last few weeks, some historical facts and the known modus operandi of the parties involved.

The first piece of information is the agreement between the Abu Dhabi Group and Malik Riaz of Baharia Town regarding investment worth $45 billion into Pakistan's real estate sector. An amount of $35 billion will reportedly be invested in Karachi which will include the construction of the world's tallest building.

The above report raises several questions. First of all it is reminiscent of a similar deal between Emaar properties and Port Qasim Authority worth $43 billion reported in September 2006. In the Emaar deal, the site for the project was two islands named Bundal and Budoo located a few kilometers off the Karachi coast. The Google maps satellite picture shows the island of Bundal and its proximity to the prime properties located in DHA Phase 8, Karachi. A one Kanal (600 sq-yds) plot, located in an undeveloped area of Phase 8, is currently worth in excess of Rs.12 million. The potential size of the island after reclamation is also comparable to the entire Phase 8. The  Emaar deal did not go through as later reported and the current deal appears to be a reincarnation of the same. The obvious question that arises is that the land which previously belonged to Port Qasim Authority (or Karachi Port Trust as in some other reports) is now being contracted by Malik Riaz! When was the title of the land passed on to Malik Riaz? Who is he acting on behalf of and in what capacity has he signed the agreement? No details have been announced that would answer these questions.

The second piece of information is the inauguration of Bilawal House in Baharia Town, Lahore with an estimated worth of Rs. 5 Billion. The 200 kanal house has been built by Malik Riaz and reportedly gifted to President Asif Zardari. If you read the two stories together, a picture begins to emerge. A real estate tycoon gifts the president a property worth billions. Soon after he contracts a deal which indicates that he has mysteriously acquired an interest in a property worth billions of Dollars. It appears that a secret deal has been struck between a state authority and Malik Riaz that entitles him to development rights of perhaps the most prized piece of real estate in Pakistan. The timing of the deal is also significant. As the five year tenure of the PPP government draws to a close, the deal has been finalized in haste so that the next government can be locked in. In order to pressurize the next government in honoring this dubious deal, a foreign, third party interest has been created so that international pressure can be applied if the next government tries to void the shady arrangement. A dreamy scenario of Pakistan becoming home to the tallest building in the world has been painted to sugar-coat the stinking deal.

The reason for writing this brief is to put forth questions that our media won't. The objectivity of our media has been compromised. Our channels air billions worth of advertisements from Baharia Town and have therefore lost the ability to raise the obvious questions. Till the time of writing of this brief, nobody has questioned the right of Malik Riaz to enter into such a deal or to inquire the location of the promised investment. There is an urgent need to raise this issue and seek answers to what agreements have been signed behind the scenes. Baharia Town already faces several law suits related to land grabbing across the country. Let's act in time and make noise so that the judiciary may take note and void the dubious deal.